The dangers of letting your heart rule your head
I’ve never been a fan
of John Terry.
It’s not a reaction to his abysmal display on Sunday…
Or even a reaction to his questionable extra-curricular activities.
But rather a reaction to the way that he plays the game and has done ever since his emergence at Chelsea.
Because Terry is one of those players with a heart larger than his head…
Not literally of course.
Sure he’s a commanding presence in central defence but he’s also slow and lacks the finesse of a Rio Ferdinand.
Furthermore, when he doesn’t have things his own way, he can be a disruptive influence.
And while you can get away with these sort of limitations at club level, international football will undoubtedly show you up…
As it has done with John.
So what’s the answer?
Forget what your heart tells you and listen to cold hard reason.
John Terry should never have been an automatic choice for England in South Africa and once he’d caused a dressing room rift with his off-field dalliances, he should not even have been on the plane.
The same principle applies to betting.
Because while it was reasonable to back England to progress past the group stage, it was anything but to back them to beat Germany, once it became apparent that the defence was shaky and that the old enemy were ready and waiting in round two.
The golden rule
Sport is highly emotive…
That’s why we all love it so much.
But in betting terms that makes it very dangerous.
Because emotion clouds judgement and when you’re staking your own money, judgement should be crystal clear.
Which is why you should never back a team or individual that you support unless you are happy to lose…
Or you have a clear back up plan.
A few weeks ago I suggested backing England to make the semi-finals.
But while I had good reason…
A supposedly E.A.S.Y group…
The key part of the bet was that England were not the be all and end all.
In fact, they were little more than a back up…
In case the Germans came uncharacteristically unstuck.
A (painful) lesson learnt
Yet for many people England’s defeat on Sunday will have cost them more than a get out of jail free card…
Because in modern World Cups around one billion pounds is bet and a fair amount of that money is placed with the heart rather than the head.
This time around one bettor is £6500 worse off after backing England…
And another £110,000 poorer after backing France each-way.
Neither of which could possibly have been bets placed with the head…
Not a sane head anyway.
So in order to maintain a healthy bank balance…
And your own sanity.
It really is best to steer clear of the emotional bet.
After all, If England were to win the World Cup or your club team were to win a major trophy, chances are you’d be so happy that for a few glorious days, weeks or even months, money wont matter.
And if they instead fall short, then the extra cash…
Either in money saved or money won…
Will soften the blow.
For more of my hints, tips and angry ramblings head over to Shortcut Publications and sign up to The Betting Rant. It’s free y’know!!






